Log in
Language:

MERAL Myanmar Education Research and Learning Portal

  • Top
  • Universities
  • Ranking
To
lat lon distance
To

Field does not validate



Index Link

Index Tree

Please input email address.

WEKO

One fine body…

WEKO

One fine body…

Item

{"_buckets": {"deposit": "e8f4414c-51c7-4380-b7df-008ed8606d6d"}, "_deposit": {"created_by": 20, "id": "9064", "owner": "20", "owners": [20], "owners_ext": {"displayname": "", "username": ""}, "pid": {"revision_id": 0, "type": "depid", "value": "9064"}, "status": "published"}, "_oai": {"id": "oai:meral.edu.mm:recid/00009064", "sets": ["1582963436320"]}, "author_link": [], "control_number": "9064", "item_1583103067471": {"attribute_name": "Title", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"subitem_1551255647225": "Statistical Modelling of Road Traffic Accidents In Yangon (Khin Thet Tun, 2023)", "subitem_1551255648112": "en"}]}, "item_1583103085720": {"attribute_name": "Description", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"interim": "Road traffic accidents constitute one of the most pressing concerns for\ngovernments worldwide. Thousands of people are fatal and injured on the roads due\nto accidents. This study aims to analyze and predict road traffic accidents and\ncasualties in Yangon using data from the No. (2) Office of Traffic Police for the\nperiod from January 2013 to December 2022. Descriptive statistics show that the\nnumber of accidents increased from 2013 to 2014, but it has significantly decreased\nstarting from 2015. The analysis of the binary logistic regression model reveals that\nthe risk factors for traffic casualties mainly include gender, place of accident, type of\nvehicle, time of accident, and immediate causes of accidents. Furthermore, the bestfitting\nmodel for predicting traffic accidents was found to be ARIMAX-TFM (0, 1, 1).\nSimilarly, ARIMAX-TFM (1, 0, 1) and ARIMAX-TFM (1, 0, 1) were the best-fitting\nmodels for traffic injury and fatality data. The forecasted number of traffic accidents\nand injuries is steadily decreasing, while the number of fatalities is steadily increasing\nfor January 2023 to March 2023. Additionally, the analysis of ARIMAX-TFM\nconfirms a significant impact of road safety measures on the reduction of the number\nof accidents and casualties in Yangon. To reduce road traffic accidents, traffic\nauthorities should focus on upgrading safer driving behaviors, improving the safety\nfeatures of vehicles, enforcing laws related to key risks, conducting public awareness\ncampaigns to better understand the risks, and establishing a comprehensive strategy."}]}, "item_1583103120197": {"attribute_name": "Files", "attribute_type": "file", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"accessrole": "open_access", "date": [{"dateType": "Available", "dateValue": "2023-10-27"}], "displaytype": "preview", "download_preview_message": "", "file_order": 0, "filename": "Khin Thet Tun, 4 Paragu Ah-3.pdf", "filesize": [{"value": "2.9 MB"}], "format": "application/pdf", "future_date_message": "", "is_thumbnail": false, "licensetype": "license_0", "mimetype": "application/pdf", "size": 2900000.0, "url": {"url": "https://meral.edu.mm/record/9064/files/Khin Thet Tun, 4 Paragu Ah-3.pdf"}, "version_id": "5f43c263-d0be-4c05-96f3-a747a3c37026"}]}, "item_1583103233624": {"attribute_name": "Thesis/dissertations", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"subitem_awarding_university": "Yangon University of Economics", "subitem_supervisor(s)": [{"subitem_supervisor": "Pro-Rector.Dr.Mya Thandar"}]}]}, "item_1583105942107": {"attribute_name": "Authors", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"subitem_authors": [{"subitem_authors_fullname": "Khin Thet Tun"}]}]}, "item_1583108359239": {"attribute_name": "Upload type", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"interim": "Other"}]}, "item_1583108428133": {"attribute_name": "Publication type", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"interim": "Dissertation"}]}, "item_1583159729339": {"attribute_name": "Publication date", "attribute_value": "2023-09-01"}, "item_title": "Statistical Modelling of Road Traffic Accidents In Yangon (Khin Thet Tun, 2023)", "item_type_id": "21", "owner": "20", "path": ["1582963436320", "1582965742757"], "permalink_uri": "https://meral.edu.mm/records/9064", "pubdate": {"attribute_name": "Deposit date", "attribute_value": "2023-10-27"}, "publish_date": "2023-10-27", "publish_status": "0", "recid": "9064", "relation": {}, "relation_version_is_last": true, "title": ["Statistical Modelling of Road Traffic Accidents In Yangon (Khin Thet Tun, 2023)"], "weko_shared_id": -1}
  1. Yangon University of Economics
  1. Yangon University of Economics
  2. Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)

Statistical Modelling of Road Traffic Accidents In Yangon (Khin Thet Tun, 2023)

https://meral.edu.mm/records/9064
https://meral.edu.mm/records/9064
b4b88b19-1bf9-4771-bcd0-8331d572e370
e8f4414c-51c7-4380-b7df-008ed8606d6d
None
Preview
Name / File License Actions
Khin Khin Thet Tun, 4 Paragu Ah-3.pdf (2.9 MB)
license.icon
Publication type
Dissertation
Upload type
Other
Title
Title Statistical Modelling of Road Traffic Accidents In Yangon (Khin Thet Tun, 2023)
Language en
Publication date 2023-09-01
Authors
Khin Thet Tun
Description
Road traffic accidents constitute one of the most pressing concerns for
governments worldwide. Thousands of people are fatal and injured on the roads due
to accidents. This study aims to analyze and predict road traffic accidents and
casualties in Yangon using data from the No. (2) Office of Traffic Police for the
period from January 2013 to December 2022. Descriptive statistics show that the
number of accidents increased from 2013 to 2014, but it has significantly decreased
starting from 2015. The analysis of the binary logistic regression model reveals that
the risk factors for traffic casualties mainly include gender, place of accident, type of
vehicle, time of accident, and immediate causes of accidents. Furthermore, the bestfitting
model for predicting traffic accidents was found to be ARIMAX-TFM (0, 1, 1).
Similarly, ARIMAX-TFM (1, 0, 1) and ARIMAX-TFM (1, 0, 1) were the best-fitting
models for traffic injury and fatality data. The forecasted number of traffic accidents
and injuries is steadily decreasing, while the number of fatalities is steadily increasing
for January 2023 to March 2023. Additionally, the analysis of ARIMAX-TFM
confirms a significant impact of road safety measures on the reduction of the number
of accidents and casualties in Yangon. To reduce road traffic accidents, traffic
authorities should focus on upgrading safer driving behaviors, improving the safety
features of vehicles, enforcing laws related to key risks, conducting public awareness
campaigns to better understand the risks, and establishing a comprehensive strategy.
Thesis/dissertations
Yangon University of Economics
Pro-Rector.Dr.Mya Thandar
Back
0
0
views
downloads
See details
Views Downloads

Versions

Ver.1 2023-10-27 05:46:07.272999
Show All versions

Share

Mendeley Twitter Facebook Print Addthis

Export

OAI-PMH
  • OAI-PMH DublinCore
Other Formats
  • JSON

Confirm


Back to MERAL


Back to MERAL