MERAL Myanmar Education Research and Learning Portal
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Causal Analysis and Structural Break of Rubber Export in Myanmar(1966-2016) (Hun Shwe Yee Thin, 2018)
https://meral.edu.mm/records/8963
https://meral.edu.mm/records/8963ca5fd11c-1119-4959-a23b-71fbcc8d319a
28c07c84-5e3f-4e2e-b635-8214519e617a
Name / File | License | Actions |
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Hun Shwe Yee Thin,M.Econ (Statistics)-1.pdf (5.1 MB)
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Title | ||||||
Title | Causal Analysis and Structural Break of Rubber Export in Myanmar(1966-2016) (Hun Shwe Yee Thin, 2018) | |||||
Language | en | |||||
Publication date | 2018-12-01 | |||||
Authors | ||||||
Hun Shwe Yee Thin | ||||||
Description | ||||||
This study investigates causal relationships between rubber export and its price as well as production and also the structural breaking of Rubber Export in Myanmar by using annual time series data for the period 1966-2016. The data used in this study is collected from food and agriculture organization (FAO). [t uses the Granger causality test to confirm affecting between variables. It also uses co-integration analysis and error correction model (ECM) test to determine the short and long run causality between variables. The results conclude that there is long term causality but there is no short run causation according to Wald test. And the test for structural breaking of Rubber Export in Myanmar is conducted by using Chow test at the break point 1988. This study confirms that there is structural breaking in Myanmar's Rubber Export" From the results and findings of the study, Myanmar's Rubber Export is hoped to provide some implications and suggestions in adopting more effective and well organized planning and poliey for the rubber export of the country in future. |
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Thesis/dissertations | ||||||
Yangon University of Economics | ||||||
Daw Soe Soe Lwin |