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Causal Analysis and Structural Break of Rubber Export in Myanmar(1966-2016) (Hun Shwe Yee Thin, 2018)

https://meral.edu.mm/records/8963
ca5fd11c-1119-4959-a23b-71fbcc8d319a
28c07c84-5e3f-4e2e-b635-8214519e617a
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Hun Hun Shwe Yee Thin,M.Econ (Statistics)-1.pdf (5.1 MB)
Publication type
Thesis
Upload type
Other
Title
Title Causal Analysis and Structural Break of Rubber Export in Myanmar(1966-2016) (Hun Shwe Yee Thin, 2018)
Language en
Publication date 2018-12-01
Authors
Hun Shwe Yee Thin
Description
This study investigates causal relationships between rubber export and its price as
well as production and also the structural breaking of Rubber Export in Myanmar by
using annual time series data for the period 1966-2016. The data used in this study is
collected from food and agriculture organization (FAO). [t uses the Granger causality test
to confirm affecting between variables. It also uses co-integration analysis and error
correction model (ECM) test to determine the short and long run causality between
variables. The results conclude that there is long term causality but there is no short run
causation according to Wald test. And the test for structural breaking of Rubber Export in
Myanmar is conducted by using Chow test at the break point 1988. This study confirms
that there is structural breaking in Myanmar's Rubber Export" From the results and
findings of the study, Myanmar's Rubber Export is hoped to provide some implications
and suggestions in adopting more effective and well organized planning and poliey for
the rubber export of the country in future.
Thesis/dissertations
Yangon University of Economics
Daw Soe Soe Lwin
0
0
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