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Item

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Future Food Security and Crop Income in a Changing Climate: A Case of Farmer Households in Myaungmya Township, Ayeyarwady Region, Myanmar

http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12678/0000007336
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a8f70e6c-180c-4d6f-9581-c7742bd88f27
None
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Naw Naw Mar Lar,Soe Tint.pdf (480 KB)
Publication type
Journal article
Upload type
Publication
Title
Title Future Food Security and Crop Income in a Changing Climate: A Case of Farmer Households in Myaungmya Township, Ayeyarwady Region, Myanmar
Language en
Publication date 2021-01-10
Authors
Naw Mar Lar
Soe Tint
Description
Climate change poses a considerable threat to food security all over the globe. Climate change is becoming a major concern in Myanmar because its economy depends on agriculture and majority of farmers mainly rely on agriculture for their living. Therefore, this study assessed the impact of potential climate change on future food security and crop income of farmers in Myaungmya Township using the two climate change scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 and the population projection. The analysis revealed that the climate is changing at the rate of +0.04ºC, -0.02ºC and +18 mm per annum for mean maximum and minim temperatures and rainfall during the observed year (1986-2015). The GCM showed that an increase in mean minimum ranges 0.60-1.37ºC under RCP4.5 and 0.72-2.87ºC under RCP8.5, whereas the mean maximum temperature ranged 0.61-1.05ºC under RCP4.5 and 0.45-2.46 under RCP8.5 and the mean annual precipitation increase slightly with 4.17% under RCP4.5 and 5.21% under RCP8.5 by the period of 2020-2099. The results also showed that about 60% - 40% of farm household potential income loss along with the decline in the rice production and growth of the population in Myaungmya Township found to be by the year 2080-2099. To offset these losses, the farmers in the study area should follow the adaptation measures like shifting planting dates, changing
Keywords
Climate change, Food security, Population growth, Myaungmya Township
Journal articles
Maubin University Research Journal
p. 50-62
Vol-11
0
0
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