{"_buckets": {"deposit": "18becc93-ddb1-4785-bc1e-49b5a4b39cd0"}, "_deposit": {"id": "1566", "owners": [], "pid": {"revision_id": 0, "type": "recid", "value": "1566"}, "status": "published"}, "_oai": {"id": "oai:meral.edu.mm:recid/1566", "sets": ["1707206634013", "1582963436320", "user-yueco"]}, "author_link": [], "communities": ["yueco"], "control_number": "1566", "item_1583103067471": {"attribute_name": "Title", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"subitem_1551255647225": "FORECASTING GOLD PRICE AND EXCHANGE RATE IN MYANMAR (January 2009 – December 2018), (Kyi Kyi Swe, 2019)", "subitem_1551255648112": "en"}]}, "item_1583103085720": {"attribute_name": "Description", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"interim": "In this thesis, an attempt has been made using “ Ordinary Least Squares Method” to find out the relationship between average prices of gold and kyats per US dollar in Myanmar by using monthly time series data for the period January 2009 to December 2018. The data used in this study is collected from “Selected Monthly Economic Indicators”. Suitable stochastic models for monthly average gold price series (Thousand Kyats) in Myanmar from year 2009 to 2018 and monthly average kyats per US dollar price series in Myanmar for year 2009 to 2018 are found by following the four stages of model building, namely, identification, estimation, diagnostic checking and forecasting. Forecasting is very important in future decisions making. The forecasts based on the fitted model were also validated in this thesis in order to support future decision making for planning purpose. Whenever needed, computer programs for the that ARIMA (1, 0, 0) ×(1,1,0)_12 model was suitable for average gold prices and ARIMA (0, 1, 0)×(1,1,0)_12 model was suitable for kyats per US dollar during the study period."}]}, "item_1583103120197": {"attribute_name": "Files", "attribute_type": "file", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"accessrole": "open_access", "date": [{"dateType": "Available", "dateValue": "2020-05-05"}], "displaytype": "preview", "download_preview_message": "", "file_order": 0, "filename": "Kyi Kyi Swe MEcon(Stats)-12.pdf", "filesize": [{"value": "1546 Kb"}], "format": "application/pdf", "future_date_message": "", "is_thumbnail": false, "licensetype": "license_0", "mimetype": "application/pdf", "size": 1546000.0, "url": {"url": "https://meral.edu.mm/record/1566/files/Kyi Kyi Swe MEcon(Stats)-12.pdf"}, "version_id": "1267586d-52b9-4a17-ad57-f50eea74ed8e"}]}, "item_1583103131163": {"attribute_name": "Journal articles", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"subitem_journal_title": "Yangon University of Economics"}]}, "item_1583103233624": {"attribute_name": "Thesis/dissertations", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"subitem_awarding_university": "Yangon University of Economics", "subitem_supervisor(s)": [{"subitem_supervisor": "Daw Naing Naing Maw"}]}]}, "item_1583105942107": {"attribute_name": "Authors", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"subitem_authors": [{"subitem_authors_fullname": "KYI KYI SWE"}]}]}, "item_1583108359239": {"attribute_name": "Upload type", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"interim": "Other"}]}, "item_1583108428133": {"attribute_name": "Publication type", "attribute_value_mlt": [{"interim": "Thesis"}]}, "item_1583159729339": {"attribute_name": "Publication date", "attribute_value": "2019-11-01"}, "item_title": "FORECASTING GOLD PRICE AND EXCHANGE RATE IN MYANMAR (January 2009 – December 2018), (Kyi Kyi Swe, 2019)", "item_type_id": "21", "owner": "1", "path": ["1582963436320", "1707206634013"], "permalink_uri": "http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12678/0000001566", "pubdate": {"attribute_name": "Deposit date", "attribute_value": "2020-03-05"}, "publish_date": "2020-03-05", "publish_status": "0", "recid": "1566", "relation": {}, "relation_version_is_last": true, "title": ["FORECASTING GOLD PRICE AND EXCHANGE RATE IN MYANMAR (January 2009 – December 2018), (Kyi Kyi Swe, 2019)"], "weko_shared_id": -1}