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  1. Yangon University of Economics
  2. Yangon University of Economics Research Journal and Universities Research Journal

The Impact of Exchange Rate on the Trade Balance of Myanmar

http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12678/0000001147
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12678/0000001147
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b30c83c2-5861-4aee-8b88-0ef3a25906a2
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Title
Title The Impact of Exchange Rate on the Trade Balance of Myanmar
Language en
Publication date 2019-11
Authors
Mi Moe Thuzar
Description
This analytical paper investigates how the exchange rates influence the trade balance of Myanmar. The major objectives of this paper are to analyze the different impacts between currency depreciation and appreciation on the trade balance of Myanmar and what are the other factors that influence the trade balance of the country. In this study, the Switching Regression Model was used to estimate the appreciation and depreciation of currency reaction to the trade balance of the country. The study using time series data from 1988 to 2015 and estimating trade balance as a function of the exchange rate. In Myanmar, the official exchange rate has been fixed at the rate varying in the range between slightly below 6 kyats and 8 kyats to the USD for the past three decades, while the black market exchange rate was varying around over 100 times the official rate before adopting managed floating rate system therefore under this exchange rate regime, reference rate is determined between Central Bank of Myanmar and authorized dealer banks. The result which analyzed by switching regression model find out the market exchange of currency depreciation did not significant effect on the trade balance of Myanmar, this means currency depreciation does not improve the trade balance. If the currency appreciation, the trade balance may reduce.
Keywords
Trade Balance
Identifier https://ecor.yueco.edu.mm/handle/123456789/619
Journal articles
1
Yangon University of Economics
6
Conference papaers
Books/reports/chapters
Thesis/dissertations
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